Lucknow, November 1, 2026: Uttar Pradesh is likely to see a gradual change in weather as the impact of Cyclone Arnab and the western disturbance weakens. After three days of rainfall, gusty winds and cloudy skies, rain activity is expected to decrease across much of the state. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) outlook indicates that mornings may turn misty or foggy in some areas, while daytime temperatures are likely to recover over the next few days.
The shift follows a spell of unsettled weather that brought rain to several districts, particularly in eastern Uttar Pradesh. The showers lowered daytime temperatures and made conditions noticeably cooler. With rainfall activity easing, residents can expect brighter conditions in many parts of the state, although isolated showers may still occur in eastern districts.
60-Second Weather Brief
- The influence of Cyclone Arnab and the western disturbance is weakening.
- Rainfall is expected to ease across most parts of Uttar Pradesh.
- Isolated showers may continue in parts of eastern UP.
- Light to moderate morning fog or mist may develop in some districts.
- Daytime temperatures are expected to rise over the next few days.
- The IMD’s November outlook points to above-normal temperatures across much of India and below-normal rainfall over most parts of the country.
Rainfall Brings a Sharp Drop in Daytime Temperatures
Saturday’s weather remained cloudy and rainy across several parts of Uttar Pradesh. Many districts received light to moderate showers, while strong winds added to the chill.
Gorakhpur recorded 63.8 mm of rainfall, the highest among the districts listed in the available figures. Siddharthnagar received 62.2 mm, followed by Basti at 57.2 mm and Maharajganj at 56.6 mm. Mathura also recorded 31 mm of rain.
The rainfall had a noticeable impact on temperatures. Gorakhpur recorded a maximum temperature of 22.5°C, making it one of the coolest daytime locations in the state in the reported observations. Muzaffarnagar recorded the lowest minimum temperature at 14.9°C.
The contrast between the recent cool conditions and the expected rise in daytime temperatures is likely to become more noticeable as clouds clear and sunshine returns.
Daytime Temperatures May Rise by 5–7 Degrees
According to the forecast information attributed to the Regional Meteorological Centre in Lucknow, daytime temperatures could increase by around 5–7°C over the next three days.
Night temperatures, meanwhile, may fall by approximately 2–4°C in some areas. This could create a noticeable difference between daytime and nighttime conditions, with warmer afternoons and relatively cooler nights.
The expected temperature recovery is linked to the weakening of the weather systems responsible for the recent rainfall. However, the pace of change may differ from district to district.
Will Uttar Pradesh Wake Up to Foggy Mornings?
With rainfall activity declining, moisture in the atmosphere may contribute to mist or light to moderate fog during early morning hours in some parts of the state.
Commuters travelling early should remain alert, particularly on highways and roads passing through open agricultural areas. Reduced visibility can make driving difficult, even when fog is not widespread or especially dense.
The forecast does not indicate that every district will experience dense fog. Conditions are likely to vary locally, so residents should follow district-level weather updates rather than assume that the entire state will be covered by a thick fog blanket.
November Outlook: Warmer Temperatures and Less Rain
The IMD’s monthly outlook issued on October 31 indicates that above-normal maximum temperatures are likely across most parts of India during November. Above-normal minimum temperatures are also expected over many regions, although some areas may experience different conditions.
The department has also projected below-normal rainfall over most parts of the country, with exceptions in certain regions where normal or above-normal rainfall is possible.
For Uttar Pradesh, the immediate forecast points towards a largely drier pattern, although isolated rainfall cannot be ruled out in eastern districts during the early part of November.
This outlook suggests that the transition into winter may be gradual rather than marked by an immediate spell of intense cold. The actual onset and intensity of cold conditions will depend on subsequent weather systems and changing temperatures.
What Residents Should Expect
For now, the main change is likely to be the return of comparatively warmer afternoons after several days of rain and cloud cover. Early mornings may feel cooler, especially where mist or fog develops.
People travelling before sunrise should allow extra time and use appropriate vehicle lights in low-visibility conditions. Farmers and residents in rural areas should also keep track of local forecasts, particularly where recent heavy rainfall may have affected fields and roads.
The Bottom Line: Uttar Pradesh is moving towards a relatively drier weather pattern as Cyclone Arnab and the western disturbance weaken. Daytime temperatures are expected to recover, while some districts may experience misty or foggy mornings. November’s broader outlook points to warmer-than-normal conditions and less rainfall across much of the country, but district-level forecasts will remain important as the season changes.
